Will Islamic extremism in Indonesia affect Australia's security in the next ten years?

This paper addresses the question of whether Islamic extremism in Indonesia will affect Australia's security in the next ten years. It notes that in the world's most populous Islamic country, there are numerous Islamic extremist groups mutating and splintering at a frenetic rate, with the January 2016 attacks in Jakarta bringing the issue into stark focus.

The paper outlines the prevalence and ideology of extremist groups in Indonesia. It analyses their intent and capability, as well as the measures that the Indonesian and Australian Governments are taking to contain the threat. The paper contends that although extremists are flexible, adaptable and unpredictable, the responses to them are both proportionately increasing and adequate. It concludes that Islamic extremism in Indonesia will not significantly affect Australia's security for the foreseeable future.

This paper was also published in the Indo-Pacific Strategic Digest series.

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